David Gately Horse Racing Tips for Newcastle 14/11/26

Saturday racing in Sydney heads to Newcastle, where The Great Tip Off's David Gately has identified two runners worth following, including a progressive filly chasing her third consecutive victory.

Love Story is Gately's Sydney Bet of the Day in Race 6 after producing two dominant wins, while Brave One appeals at bigger odds in Race 8 after a couple of runs where circumstances worked against him.

With hot conditions forecast and rain potentially arriving later in the day, track conditions and racing patterns will be important factors throughout the meeting.

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Newcastle Track Conditions & Weather

All ratings for Newcastle are based on a Good track.

Saturday is expected to be hot, with rain likely during the afternoon and evening. The timing of that rain will be worth monitoring as the meeting progresses.

The rail was out 11m at the previous meeting, meaning there should be protected ground closer to the inside.

It's also worth remembering how this meeting played last year. Seven of the ten winners either led or enjoyed a good run just behind the pace.

That doesn't guarantee the same pattern will emerge on Saturday, but it's a useful reference when assessing the chances of runners likely to settle prominently.

Newcastle Race 6 – #8 Love Story | Bet of the Day

Love Story is my Sydney Bet of the Day after making an excellent impression in her first three starts.

She ran into a smart horse on debut before putting together two dominant victories, showing the ability to take control of her races from the front.

Her latest win was particularly impressive, with Love Story comfortably accounting for Live.

That form has some substance. Live had previously finished within a length of key rival Regal Problem in September, giving us a useful comparison between the runners.

Love Story's ability to race on the speed is another positive, particularly given the historical pattern at this Newcastle meeting.

She's progressing nicely, has already demonstrated a strong winning attitude and looks well placed to continue her winning sequence.

Gately's Verdict: Ran into a smart one on debut before recording two dominant wins from the front. Her latest victory over Live provides a strong form reference through Regal Problem. The one to beat.

Newcastle Race 8 – #12 Brave One | Best Roughie ($16)

Brave One is my roughie of the day, with the gelding looking capable of improving sharply under more suitable conditions.

His second-up performance was very good after covering plenty of additional ground, and the form from that race has subsequently been franked.

That encouraged me to give him a chance at big odds in the Five Diamonds Prelude.

Unfortunately, things didn't go his way again.

He was forced to cover ground, and I also have doubts about whether he genuinely ran out the 1500m.

Saturday's assignment looks more suitable.

He drops back to 1300m, draws a better barrier and carries just 53kg.

Those changes give him a much better opportunity to produce the type of performance he's capable of.

At around $16, he's worth considering as a roughie.

Gately's Verdict: Very good second-up despite covering ground, with that form subsequently franked. Had another difficult run in the Prelude and may not have stayed 1500m. Back to 1300m, better drawn and carrying 53kg. A good roughie at around $16.

David Gately's Newcastle Best Bets Summary

David Gately's Newcastle Final Verdict

Love Story is the standout selection for Newcastle on Saturday. She's been dominant in her last two starts, and the form through Live and Regal Problem adds confidence to her chances.

Brave One is the runner I want to be with at bigger odds. He's had excuses in his recent performances, and the return to 1300m with a better barrier and just 53kg looks a favourable combination.

Bet of the Day: Newcastle Race 6 – #8 Love Story.

Best Roughie: Newcastle Race 8 – #12 Brave One ($16).

All selections are assessed on a Good track, with the possibility of afternoon rain worth monitoring.

There are loads of tips for today's racing in our Horse Racing Tips market at theGreatTipOff.com.