Free Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets for Bathurst 12/5/26

Selections for today’s Bathurst meeting come from Ian Humphries, with TheGreatTipOff providing race-by-race analysis and betting insights to break down how the card is likely to play out.

Bathurst on a Good 4 with the rail in the True position should provide a fair racing surface, although runners that can secure economical runs close to the speed often gain an advantage around the tighter country circuit.

The meeting shapes as one where tempo and positioning will be crucial, particularly in the middle stages of the card where several races appear evenly matched on paper.

 

Track Type: Turf
Condition: Good 4
Rail Position: True

 

Bathurst Horse Racing Tips from Ian Humphries 12/6/26

 

Jockey Insight

• Mikayla Weir profiles as one of the standout value jockeys with a strong +72 ROI from limited rides

• Zoe Hunt continues to produce impressive country results with a 23.53% strike rate and +56 ROI

• Chad Lever has generated profitable returns with a +50 ROI, often delivering at odds

• Siena Grima’s strike rate stands out at an impressive 36.36% alongside a positive ROI

• Winona Costin and Mathew Cahill remain consistent performers across regional NSW meetings

 

Race-by-Race Analysis

Race 1 — 1:05 pm

Tip: Prophet's Lass ($3.40)

Competitive opener with multiple chances engaged.

GTO Race Analysis:
Tempo should be genuine enough early to favour runners settling just behind the speed.

How the Race Plays:
Likely run tactically with positioning important before the home turn.

GTO Betting Angle:
Win / Each-way

 

Race 2 — 1:40 pm

Tip: Kosrae ($2.25)

Well-fancied runner early in the program.

GTO Race Analysis:
Race shape appears suitable for runners capable of holding a forward position throughout.

How the Race Plays:
Could favour horses conserving energy close to the speed.

GTO Betting Angle:
Win bet

 

Race 3 — 2:15 pm

Tip: Blue Poles ($6.00)

One of the stronger confidence plays on the card despite the bigger quote.

GTO Race Analysis:
Tempo maps genuinely which may create opportunities for runners finishing off strongly late.

How the Race Plays:
Could open up significantly over the final stages if leaders overdo it early.

GTO Betting Angle:
Value / Each-way

 

Race 4 — 2:55 pm

Tip: Michelangelo ($2.60)

Strong profile in another competitive contest.

GTO Race Analysis:
Tempo appears moderate which should suit runners settling within striking distance throughout.

How the Race Plays:
Likely to become tactical approaching the straight.

GTO Betting Angle:
Win

 

Race 5 — 3:35 pm

Tip: Bivacco ($3.70)

Solid mid-range selection in the later stages of the card.

GTO Race Analysis:
Even race shape expected with several runners capable of pressing forward early.

How the Race Plays:
Could favour horses able to secure economical runs near the rail.

GTO Betting Angle:
Each-way

 

Race 6 — 4:10 pm

Tip: Chestime — Ian Humphries

Late card selection with market support likely closer to race time.

GTO Race Analysis:
Race shape appears balanced which should give several runners their chance depending on positioning.

How the Race Plays:
Strong finish expected if the tempo lifts through the middle stages.

GTO Betting Angle:
Win

 

Race 7 — 4:45 pm

Tip: Real Baker ($1.65)

Short-priced favourite expected to close the meeting strongly.

GTO Race Analysis:
Tempo looks suitable for a runner capable of settling prominently and controlling the race shape.

How the Race Plays:
Likely favours runners near the speed turning for home.

GTO Betting Angle:
Strong Win bet

 

The Plays

BEST BET:
Real Baker – Race 7

NEXT BEST:
Blue Poles – Race 3

BEST VALUE:
Blue Poles – Race 3

MULTI ANCHOR:
Real Baker

 

Betting Strategy

This Bathurst meeting shapes as one where tactical positioning and race tempo will heavily influence results, particularly around the tighter country circuit where leaders can prove difficult to reel in.

Building around the stronger confidence runners while selectively targeting value in the more open races appears the best overall approach for the day.

 

FAQ

What time does Bathurst racing start?
The first race is scheduled for 1:05 pm (AEST).

 

What are the best bets today?
Real Baker in Race 7 and Blue Poles in Race 3 rate as the strongest plays on the card.

 

Which jockeys stand out?
Mikayla Weir, Zoe Hunt and Siena Grima all profile strongly based on recent ROI and strike-rate figures.

 

There are loads of tips for today's racing in our Horse Racing Tips market at theGreatTipOff.com.