Horse Racing Tips for Canberra Cup Preview 2026

An underrated six-year-old provincial mare has the opportunity to announce herself as a genuine Canberra Cup contender when she lines up in Friday’s Preview feature at Thoroughbred Park.

The meeting will be run on a Good 4 surface with the rail in the True position, and race shape looms as the key factor in what shapes as a tactical affair ahead of the Listed Canberra Cup on Sunday, March 8.

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Neil Evans – Canberra Cup Preview Feature

The Race Shape

Friday’s contest is expected to be run slowly, with limited natural speed engaged.

That scenario brings tactical positioning into sharp focus.

Locally trained Burgundy Girl, coming off a dominant BM66 win at the Sapphire Coast, may be forced to take up the running.

Another Kembla visitor, Captain Fenkel, drawn wider, is also likely to roll forward after competing in deeper metropolitan company.

That should allow Winning Point to settle a few lengths back and off the fence, conserving energy before being produced from the 600-metre mark.

 

The Top Pick – Winning Point

Winning Point, a daughter of Bull Point from the Paul Murray stable at Kembla Grange, has only three wins from 31 starts but profiles ideally for this contest.

She closed off well last start in a BM64 at Kembla, beaten just two lengths behind Mr Fabulous while carrying 2kg more than she does here.

The 400-metre drop back in trip is offset by 23 days between runs, and she appears ready to peak.

Her recent form has been better than it reads on paper. Four starts back she was beaten under a length over 1800m at Kensington, then was unsuited at Canterbury where race shape worked against her.

After nearly four weeks between runs into the New Year, she has twice found the line strongly at Kembla over 2400m from the second half of the field.

Admittedly a dour type, she now carries one of the lightest weights she has had outside metropolitan company in some time.

If the tempo is slow, expect Chad Lever to position closer than usual and build momentum before the home turn.

Despite her modest strike rate, she presents as the runner whose form may slide under the market radar.

 

The Dangers

Burgundy Girl continues to build a strong provincial record and commands respect from a forward position.

Captain Fenkel brings metropolitan depth and maps to prominence throughout.

Semper Fortis, stepping up from a solid Midway performance at Randwick in his first start for over nine months, is a key market watch and could improve sharply second-up.

 

Neil’s Canberra Cup Preview Selections

1. Winning Point

2. Burgundy Girl

3. Captain Fenkel

4. Semper Fortis

 

Friday’s Preview shapes as a tactical contest that could be decided by positioning rather than raw acceleration, and it offers an important form reference ahead of the main Canberra Cup feature.

Full Preview Day analysis and tips available via Thoroughbred Park.

 

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