Horse Racing Tips for Stawell 18/5/26

Andre Kassay heads to Stawell with a strong mix of favourites and value runners on a rain-affected Soft 7 surface, while TheGreatTipOff provides race analysis and betting insights for how the meeting may unfold.

With the rail in the True position and the track already in the Soft range, runners capable of handling testing ground and building momentum through the middle stages are expected to hold a clear advantage.

Stawell meetings on wet ground can quickly become tactical, particularly later in the day when inside sections begin to chop out, making race positioning and tempo critical factors across the card.

 

Track Type: Turf
Condition: Soft 7
Rail Position: True Entire Circuit

 

Stawell Horse Racing Tips from Andre Kassay

 

Jockey Insight

• Brad Rawiller has produced elite returns at Stawell with a massive +150 ROI from limited rides

• Dean Yendall continues to thrive at the venue with a strong 29.41% strike rate and positive profitability

• Harry Coffey remains one of the more reliable riders on country Victorian circuits with a healthy 26.67% win rate

• Sarah Field has delivered strong value results for punters, producing a solid +25 ROI

• Kate Walters and Tayla Cameron have both generated positive returns despite fewer opportunities

 

Race-by-Race Analysis

Race 1 — 12:30 pm

Tip: Boa Vista — Andre Kassay

Opens the meeting with a runner expected to handle the Soft 7 conditions.

GTO Race Analysis:
Early races may still favour runners closer to the inside before the ground begins to deteriorate later in the day.

How the Race Plays:
Likely to reward runners that can settle handy without overworking early.

GTO Betting Angle:
Win

 

Race 2 — 1:00 pm

Tip: Pravaha — Andre Kassay

One of two selections in the race from Kassay.

GTO Race Analysis:
The wet conditions may create a genuine stamina test, especially if pressure builds through the middle stages.

How the Race Plays:
Could suit runners capable of sustaining long runs rather than producing short sprints.

GTO Betting Angle:
Win

 

Tip: Newcombe ($15.00) — Andre Kassay

Interesting long-priced inclusion capable of surprising if conditions worsen.

GTO Race Analysis:
At the price, this runner profiles as a potential wet-track improver in an open race.

How the Race Plays:
If leaders overdo the tempo early, value runners can emerge late.

GTO Betting Angle:
Each-way value

 

GTO Insight

Andre Kassay’s Stawell strategy leans heavily toward runners expected to cope with deteriorating ground conditions, with several selections mapping to settle in positive early positions before the track potentially chops out later in the afternoon.

 

Race 3 — 1:30 pm

Tip: Angel's Gathering ($2.90) — Andre Kassay

One of the stronger confidence plays on the card.

GTO Race Analysis:
The race shape looks suitable for runners capable of controlling the speed or settling just behind the leaders.

How the Race Plays:
Expected to become tactical from the 600m onward.

GTO Betting Angle:
Strong Win bet

 

Race 4 — 2:00 pm

Tip: Barossa Valley ($4.60) — Andre Kassay

Mid-range value selection in a competitive affair.

GTO Race Analysis:
The Soft 7 surface should place additional pressure on runners lacking wet-track fitness.

How the Race Plays:
Could favour horses able to maintain momentum around the home bend.

GTO Betting Angle:
Win / Each-way

 

Race 5 — 2:30 pm

Tip: Nothin' Wong Here ($1.45) — Andre Kassay

Short-priced runner carrying strong confidence.

GTO Race Analysis:
Looks ideally suited by the map and conditions with minimal excuses if handling the ground.

How the Race Plays:
Should get every opportunity from a positive settling position.

GTO Betting Angle:
Best Bet / Multi anchor

 

Race 6 — 3:00 pm

Tip: Three Reel Roses ($5.50) — Andre Kassay

One of the better value plays deeper into the card.

GTO Race Analysis:
By this stage of the meeting, wider lanes may begin to offer better footing if the inside chops out.

How the Race Plays:
Expected to suit runners making sustained late runs.

GTO Betting Angle:
Each-way value

 

Race 7 — 3:30 pm

Tip: Forever With Ned ($3.10) — Andre Kassay

Consistent type suited by conditions.

GTO Race Analysis:
The race appears evenly matched on paper, making race shape and positioning critical.

How the Race Plays:
Could become a grinding finish rather than a sprint home.

GTO Betting Angle:
Win

 

Race 8 — 4:00 pm

Tip: Princess Mess ($2.00) — Andre Kassay

Well-fancied runner expected to handle conditions.

GTO Race Analysis:
Late in the day, proven wet-track runners generally gain a significant edge.

How the Race Plays:
Tempo should allow the race to set up fairly for leading chances.

GTO Betting Angle:
Win / Multi anchor

 

Race 9 — 4:30 pm

Tip: Jet Jitsu ($9.00) — Andre Kassay

Long-priced closer to finish the program.

GTO Race Analysis:
The final race could produce an upset if conditions become testing enough late in the afternoon.

How the Race Plays:
Stamina and wet-track capability may outweigh raw speed by this stage.

GTO Betting Angle:
Each-way value

 

The Plays

BEST BET:
Nothin' Wong Here – Race 5

NEXT BEST:
Angel's Gathering – Race 3

BEST VALUE:
Newcombe – Race 2

MULTI ANCHOR:
Nothin' Wong Here

 

Betting Strategy

Stawell’s Soft 7 conditions should place a premium on fitness, wet-track ability and race positioning throughout the afternoon.

Building multis around the stronger short-priced runners while selectively targeting value plays in the deeper races looks the safest overall approach on a potentially deteriorating surface.

 

FAQ

What time does Stawell racing start?
The first race is scheduled for 12:30 pm (AEST).

 

What are the best bets today?
Nothin' Wong Here in Race 5 and Angel's Gathering in Race 3 headline the meeting.

 

Which jockeys stand out?
Dean Yendall, Brad Rawiller and Harry Coffey all bring strong recent statistics into the meeting.

 

There are loads of tips for today's racing in our Horse Racing Tips market at TheGreatTipOff.com.