Horse Racing Tips for Warwick Farm 11/11/26

Midweek racing provides another opportunity to find a winner, with Mick Gannon identifying two runners who look ready to deliver strong performances on Wednesday.

Water City looks primed to peak third-up for the Ciaron Maher stable, while Shady Road returns to a track where he narrowly missed first-up and has an excellent profile heading into his second run this preparation.

Mick has also identified two horses worth adding to the blackbook following Saturday's racing.

Sharjawiyah produced an encouraging debut despite covering extra ground, while Welcometotheshow was left with far too much to do after settling well back in a slowly run race.

Here are Mick's Wednesday best bets and the two runners to follow at their next suitable opportunity.

 

 

Mick Gannon's Wednesday Best Bets & Saturday Racing Blackbookers

Mick Gannon's Wednesday Best Bets

Race 2 – #9 Water City

Water City is knocking on the door third-up for the Ciaron Maher stable, and I'm expecting her to produce her best run of the preparation.

The money came for her at Hawkesbury a fortnight ago, and she let down nicely to suggest a win isn't far away.

She's been building steadily towards a peak performance, and the stable knows exactly how to prepare a horse at this stage of its campaign.

Everything points towards her being ready to take the next step.

Mick's Verdict: Building towards a peak run third-up after a promising effort at Hawkesbury. Looks primed to take the next step.

 

Race 5 – #4 Shady Road

Shady Road went within a whisker of winning first-up at this track, charging home from midfield and just missing.

It was an excellent return, and there's good reason to expect him to improve again on Wednesday.

He's a horse who has previously gone to another level on ratings second-up, which makes him particularly appealing at this stage of his preparation.

He also draws to enjoy a cosy run with cover, while the claim for Knock leaves him well placed at the weights.

With the benefit of that first-up run, a favourable draw and weight relief, everything points towards him going one better.

Mick's Verdict: Narrowly beaten first-up and has a strong second-up ratings profile. Drawn for a good run, with Knock's claim another positive. Looks ready to win.

 

Mick Gannon's Wednesday Best Bets Summary

 

Saturday Racing Blackbookers – Two Horses to Follow

Saturday's racing produced a couple of performances that were better than the finishing positions suggest.

Both Sharjawiyah and Welcometotheshow had circumstances work against them, and I'll be keeping a close eye on where they turn up next.

 

Race 6 – Sharjawiyah

There was significant merit in Sharjawiyah's debut performance, despite finishing sixth.

She raced wide without cover throughout, covering additional ground while many of her rivals enjoyed more economical runs.

Despite that difficult passage, she still had the audacity to fight on strongly to the finish.

That's a very encouraging sign for a horse having its first race start.

She's now gone out for a spell, which could create an excellent betting opportunity when she returns.

I'm expecting the bookmakers to underestimate her debut performance, particularly given the sixth placing on paper.

If she opens at double-figure odds on resumption, she could be well worth backing.

Mick's Blackbook Verdict: Excellent merit in her debut sixth after racing wide without cover. Now spelling, but one to follow closely when she resumes, particularly if the market opens at double figures.

 

Race 8 – Welcometotheshow

Welcometotheshow was ridden far too negatively from his barrier on Saturday, leaving himself with an almost impossible task.

He was forced to chase from seven lengths behind his rivals at the 400m, which was a massive disadvantage given the slow tempo established by the leaders.

He still made good ground late, but the race was effectively over before he had a realistic opportunity to challenge.

When the leaders are allowed to dictate such a slow pace, it's mathematically almost impossible to make up that much ground over the final 400m.

For mine, the tactics were the difference between winning and losing.

Show some intent earlier in the race, and he probably wins.

He's clearly going well enough to win a suitable race, and I'll be looking for a more positive ride next time.

Mick's Blackbook Verdict: Settled seven lengths off the leaders at the 400m in a slowly run race and was left with too much to do. Made good late ground and looks capable of winning with more positive tactics.

 

Mick Gannon's Saturday Blackbook Summary

 

Mick Gannon's Final Word

Water City and Shady Road are my two runners to follow on Wednesday, with both looking ready to produce peak performances at this stage of their preparations.

Looking further ahead, Sharjawiyah is a horse I want to be with when she returns from her spell, particularly if the market overlooks the merit in her debut.

Welcometotheshow also remains firmly in my blackbook after being given far too much to do in a slowly run race on Saturday.

Keep an eye on both when they next appear in the nominations.

For more midweek racing tips and horses to follow, check out Mick Gannon's selections at The Great Tip Off.

 

For more free tips to put into your multi, head to the Racing Tip Market at thegreattipoff.com.